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Module Catalogue
 Module Code: MAT3001  Module Title: ADVANCED STOCHASTIC MODELLING
Module Provider: Mathematics Short Name: MS334 Previous Short Name: MS334
Level: HE3 Module Co-ordinator: MELBOURNE I Prof (Maths)
Number of credits: 15 Number of ECTS credits: 7.5
 
Module Availability

Spring Semester

Assessment Pattern

Unit(s) of Assessment
Weighting Towards Module Mark( %)
Coursework: the form of exercises and class tests
25%
Exam: Written examination (2 hours, unseen).
75%

Module Overview
The module introduces Brownian motion, related continuous time, continuous state space stochastic processes and processes with independent and stationary increments.
Prerequisites/Co-requisites
Prerequisite: MAT2003 Stochastic Processes
Recommended: MAT2013 Mathematical Statistics
Module Aims

Learning Outcomes
At the end of the module a student should be able to:
 
(1)               define Brownian motion and related processes and calculate associated probabilities
(2)               construct and analyse processes with independent and stationary increments

            define and apply martingales in continuous time.

Module Content

Continuous time and state space models. Brownian motion, reflection principle, relation to random walks. General Gauss-Wiener process, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, multivariate Wiener process, lognormal Wiener process. Processes with independent and stationary increments: Levy processes and stable laws. Martingales, filtrations, stopping times.

Methods of Teaching/Learning

3 contact hours per week for 10 weeks. Teaching is by lectures and tutorials. Learning takes place through lectures, tutorials, exercises and background reading.

Selected Texts/Journals
Recommended
H M Taylor and S. Karlin, An introduction to stochastic modelling, 3rd ed, Academic Press, (1998)
 
Further Reading
G R Grimmett and D Stirzaker, Probability and Random Processes, 2nd ed, Clarendon 1992
R S Pindyck and D L Rubinfeld, Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, McGraw-Hill (1998)

Core Reading for Subject 103, Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (1999).

Last Updated

10 October 2008


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